Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.231643 0.267486 0.306837 0.353219 0.406369 0.465348 0.535741
2024-11-03 0.184102 0.232873 0.291220 0.366059 0.459407 0.571908 0.717711
2024-11-10 0.150242 0.206576 0.279466 0.380424 0.516375 0.692841 0.939048
2024-11-17 0.119895 0.178205 0.259358 0.380059 0.554499 0.796886 1.158669
2024-11-24 0.096652 0.154497 0.240659 0.377562 0.588760 0.901191 1.397256
2024-12-01 0.079363 0.135782 0.225310 0.376560 0.624406 1.012816 1.665529
2024-12-08 0.066467 0.121190 0.213307 0.378077 0.663611 1.135563 1.971217
2024-12-15 0.057500 0.111263 0.206883 0.387241 0.716405 1.287872 2.349590
2024-12-22 0.048687 0.099712 0.195344 0.385047 0.748657 1.409878 2.695224
2024-12-29 0.042915 0.092687 0.190650 0.394314 0.802864 1.578380 3.150258
2025-01-05 0.036623 0.083278 0.179559 0.388997 0.827932 1.696134 3.527709
2025-01-12 0.032495 0.077563 0.174794 0.395469 0.877260 1.867483 4.035660
2025-01-19 0.027502 0.068987 0.162650 0.384630 0.889859 1.969443 4.424026
2025-01-26 0.024993 0.065675 0.161501 0.397944 0.957284 2.196335 5.113295
2025-02-02 0.022896 0.062927 0.161149 0.413077 1.031545 2.449618 5.900911
2025-02-09 0.020185 0.058015 0.154690 0.412383 1.068666 2.625614 6.541354
2025-02-16 0.017757 0.053315 0.147858 0.409481 1.099931 2.792868 7.187821
2025-02-23 0.015745 0.049323 0.142092 0.408262 1.135247 2.975219 7.899588
2025-03-02 0.014113 0.046061 0.137662 0.409811 1.178092 3.182722 8.706706
2025-03-09 0.012973 0.044034 0.136295 0.419658 1.245087 3.461912 9.741740
2025-03-16 0.011574 0.040866 0.131011 0.417242 1.277596 3.655740 10.580584
2025-03-23 0.010700 0.039214 0.129952 0.427231 1.347516 3.960970 11.769730
2025-03-30 0.009511 0.036211 0.124121 0.421465 1.369919 4.138151 12.628094